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10 of 10 matches with xG: 37 goals from 27.6 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol 3–3 Flamengo | 2.58–2.18 | 48% · 19% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlético Mineiro 5–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.50–0.01 | 77% · 22% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Botafogo 4–2 Fortaleza EC | 1.72–1.03 | 54% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Ceara 1–3 Palmeiras | 1.64–2.13 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Corinthians 1–1 Juventude | 2.25–1.36 | 58% · 20% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 58% |
| Fluminense 2–0 Bahia | 1.09–0.39 | 53% · 34% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Internacional 3–1 RB Bragantino | 2.18–0.19 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Santos 3–0 Cruzeiro | 2.10–0.29 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Sport Recife 0–4 Gremio | 0.63–1.60 | 14% · 25% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo | 2.35–0.34 | 83% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.