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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.0 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 2–0 Atlético Mineiro | 2.62–0.86 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Palmeiras 0–0 Vitoria | 1.31–0.12 | 69% · 28% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Palmeiras had 69% |
| Vasco da Gama 0–2 Mirassol | 0.48–1.23 | 14% · 30% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Gremio 1–2 Fluminense | 0.60–0.92 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Fortaleza EC 2–1 Corinthians | 1.17–1.99 | 22% · 22% · 56% | Won against the xG: Fortaleza EC |
| Juventude 0–3 Santos | 0.57–1.84 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Bahia 2–0 Sport Recife | 2.90–0.24 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Sao Paulo 3–0 Internacional | 1.27–0.41 | 58% · 30% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Flamengo 1–0 Ceara | 1.29–0.02 | 72% · 28% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Cruzeiro 2–2 Botafogo | 1.60–1.56 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.