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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.3 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara 2–0 Sport Recife | 0.59–0.65 | 28% · 41% · 31% | Close call, Ceara won |
| Vasco da Gama 3–0 Fortaleza EC | 1.60–0.87 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Gremio | 2.63–1.09 | 70% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Corinthians 1–0 Santos | 0.82–0.50 | 40% · 39% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Bahia 2–1 Vitoria | 0.53–2.14 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Won against the xG: Bahia |
| Juventude 1–1 Fluminense | 0.45–1.73 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Fluminense had 69% |
| Flamengo 0–0 Botafogo | 0.68–0.54 | 34% · 41% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Bragantino 1–2 Palmeiras | 0.34–0.73 | 16% · 43% · 41% | Close call, Palmeiras won |
| Cruzeiro 0–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.46–0.19 | 71% · 25% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Cruzeiro had 71% |
| Internacional 1–1 Mirassol | 2.30–0.48 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Internacional had 79% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.