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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 28.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 2–1 Santos | 0.99–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Close call, RB Bragantino won |
| Chapecoense 1–2 Mirassol | 0.54–2.19 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Internacional 1–0 Coritiba | 1.59–0.64 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–3 Vasco da Gama | 0.39–0.71 | 18% · 43% · 39% | Close call, Vasco da Gama won |
| Flamengo 3–1 Gremio | 2.43–0.31 | 84% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Botafogo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro | 1.60–0.34 | 69% · 23% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Sao Paulo 0–0 Corinthians | 1.79–1.24 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Sao Paulo had 50% |
| Palmeiras 6–1 Remo | 4.78–0.32 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Cruzeiro 3–2 Bahia | 3.52–0.72 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vitoria 0–3 Fluminense | 0.82–1.90 | 16% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.