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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.2 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 3–0 Chapecoense | 2.55–0.77 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
| Fluminense 2–1 Internacional | 1.49–1.05 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Santos 0–0 Palmeiras | 1.60–1.85 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bahia 3–2 Sao Paulo | 1.13–0.89 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Remo 2–1 Botafogo | 0.58–0.88 | 23% · 37% · 41% | Won against the xG: Remo |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Cruzeiro | 1.65–2.60 | 24% · 18% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Vasco da Gama 1–4 Flamengo | 1.24–1.66 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Gremio 2–0 Athletico Paranaense | 1.47–1.37 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol | 2.52–0.03 | 91% · 8% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Corinthians |
| Coritiba 2–0 Vitoria | 2.30–0.53 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.