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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.3 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro 1–0 Remo | 0.89–0.28 | 49% · 39% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Cruzeiro |
| Internacional 3–0 Botafogo | 2.81–0.62 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Internacional |
| Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo | 1.32–1.13 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitoria 1–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.69–0.57 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Vitoria had 65% |
| Palmeiras 2–0 RB Bragantino | 3.39–0.44 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Vasco da Gama 3–2 Corinthians | 1.79–0.77 | 62% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Chapecoense 2–1 Fluminense | 0.59–1.44 | 15% · 27% · 58% | Won against the xG: Chapecoense |
| Santos 1–1 Bahia | 2.10–1.49 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 52% |
| Coritiba 0–1 Gremio | 1.21–1.87 | 25% · 23% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Gremio |
| Flamengo 3–2 Atlético Mineiro | 2.85–1.09 | 74% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.