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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 29.8 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol 2–0 Internacional | 3.20–0.72 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense | 2.41–0.24 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Coritiba | 1.39–0.69 | 54% · 28% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–2 Palmeiras | 1.34–0.38 | 61% · 28% · 10% | Won against the xG: Palmeiras |
| Sao Paulo 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 1.26–0.92 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Fluminense 1–2 Santos | 1.17–2.13 | 20% · 20% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Gremio 2–4 Cruzeiro | 2.07–1.54 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Won against the xG: Cruzeiro |
| Bahia 0–3 Flamengo | 0.99–2.89 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Remo 1–1 RB Bragantino | 1.50–2.44 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 58% |
| Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria | 1.64–0.84 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Corinthians had 56% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.