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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.9 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama 0–0 Remo | 0.84–0.25 | 48% · 41% · 11% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria | 1.80–0.79 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sao Paulo |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Santos | 1.44–1.12 | 44% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Atlético Mineiro |
| Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense | 1.65–0.65 | 62% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Gremio 1–1 Internacional | 1.44–0.78 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Gremio had 53% |
| Palmeiras 4–1 Corinthians | 2.60–0.71 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
| Bahia 1–0 Mirassol | 3.15–1.82 | 64% · 16% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Bahia |
| Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo | 1.16–0.93 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chapecoense 1–4 Athletico Paranaense | 1.75–1.39 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Close call, Athletico Paranaense won |
| RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro | 2.88–2.80 | 43% · 17% · 40% | Win in line with xG for RB Bragantino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.