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9 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 30.4 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 1–1 Mirassol | 2.56–1.19 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Draw against the xG: RB Bragantino had 67% |
| Internacional 2–1 Corinthians | 1.76–2.44 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Won against the xG: Internacional |
| Remo 1–1 Gremio | 1.32–2.61 | 18% · 17% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Gremio had 65% |
| Vitoria 4–0 Chapecoense | 2.67–0.38 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Vitoria |
| Botafogo 1–2 Vasco da Gama | 0.61–1.69 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Santos 2–2 Flamengo | 2.42–1.15 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Santos had 65% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–2 Atlético Mineiro | 2.48–1.50 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 59% |
| Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba | 1.77–1.54 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
| Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia | 1.79–0.52 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Palmeiras |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.