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2 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 4.2 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 1–1 Guarani Campinas | 1.34–0.45 | 59% · 28% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Criciuma had 59% |
| Botafogo SP 1–2 Chapecoense | 1.01–1.45 | 26% · 26% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Chapecoense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.