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5 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 9.3 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP 1–0 Criciuma | 1.18–1.11 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Avai 2–0 Sampaio Correa | 1.43–0.57 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| Sport Recife 1–2 Vitoria | 0.91–0.86 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Close call, Vitoria won |
| Ceara 1–0 Vila Nova | 1.08–1.01 | 37% · 30% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| ABC 0–1 Guarani Campinas | 0.28–0.87 | 11% · 40% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Guarani Campinas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.