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2 of 10 matches with xG: 6 goals from 5.1 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova 2–0 Guarani Campinas | 1.15–1.12 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Brusque 3–1 Mirassol | 0.36–2.48 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Won against the xG: Brusque |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.