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2 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 3.2 xG (1.55 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 4–1 Guarani Campinas | 1.45–1.03 | 47% · 26% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Botafogo SP 0–0 Mirassol | 0.36–0.39 | 22% · 54% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.