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4 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 9.7 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife 1–2 Novorizontino | 0.84–1.29 | 24% · 29% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Ponte Preta 3–1 Ceara | 1.79–1.23 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Ponte Preta |
| Amazonas 1–0 Coritiba | 2.10–0.60 | 72% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Amazonas |
| Mirassol 0–0 Santos | 1.14–0.74 | 45% · 31% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.