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2 of 10 matches with xG: 4 goals from 3.5 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazonas 1–2 Vila Nova | 1.31–0.99 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Mirassol 1–0 CRB | 0.66–0.51 | 34% · 42% · 24% | Close call, Mirassol won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.