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3 of 10 matches with xG: 11 goals from 8.4 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova 1–1 Santos | 0.73–0.63 | 34% · 39% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Guarani Campinas 2–3 Goias | 1.91–2.06 | 37% · 21% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Botafogo SP 2–2 Brusque | 1.47–1.60 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.