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7 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 16.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos 4–0 Coritiba | 2.88–0.74 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Santos |
| Ituano 0–0 America Mineiro | 1.56–0.57 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Ituano had 62% |
| Ponte Preta 2–0 Vila Nova | 0.61–1.65 | 13% · 24% · 63% | Won against the xG: Ponte Preta |
| Brusque 1–0 Paysandu | 1.81–1.04 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Brusque |
| Amazonas 1–1 Guarani Campinas | 1.10–0.76 | 43% · 32% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Goias 1–1 CRB | 0.84–0.39 | 44% · 40% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ceara 4–1 Botafogo SP | 1.21–0.89 | 43% · 29% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.