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2 of 10 matches with xG: 3 goals from 4.8 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino 2–1 Ponte Preta | 2.32–1.09 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Guarani Campinas 0–0 Avai | 0.68–0.74 | 29% · 38% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.