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3 of 10 matches with xG: 9 goals from 7.0 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense 0–4 Goias | 1.12–2.27 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Operario-PR 1–0 America Mineiro | 0.27–0.91 | 11% · 39% · 51% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
| Sport Recife 4–0 Guarani Campinas | 1.07–1.34 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Close call, Sport Recife won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.