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6 of 10 matches with xG: 15 goals from 14.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai 3–0 Vila Nova | 1.86–0.46 | 71% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| Mirassol 3–0 Ponte Preta | 1.80–0.25 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Ceara 2–1 Paysandu | 1.55–0.04 | 77% · 22% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
| Goias 3–0 Operario-PR | 3.00–1.41 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Guarani Campinas 0–2 Novorizontino | 0.60–0.90 | 23% · 36% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Amazonas 0–1 Botafogo SP | 1.73–1.30 | 48% · 24% · 29% | Won against the xG: Botafogo SP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.