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2 of 10 matches with xG: 6 goals from 5.4 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brusque 0–1 Botafogo SP | 0.98–1.26 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Mirassol 4–1 Coritiba | 2.72–0.42 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.