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3 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.3 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta 1–2 Santos | 1.14–0.46 | 53% · 32% · 15% | Won against the xG: Santos |
| Paysandu 1–1 Goias | 0.30–2.50 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 85% |
| Ceara 2–1 Amazonas | 1.95–0.92 | 61% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Ceara |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.