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3 of 10 matches with xG: 4 goals from 6.0 xG (0.67 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária 1–1 Botafogo SP | 1.83–0.75 | 63% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Ferroviária had 63% |
| Vila Nova 0–1 Novorizontino | 0.87–0.49 | 43% · 38% · 20% | Won against the xG: Novorizontino |
| Paysandu 0–1 Criciuma | 1.70–0.33 | 72% · 22% · 7% | Won against the xG: Criciuma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.