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4 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 6.9 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias 2–0 Ferroviária | 0.97–0.57 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Athletic Club | 0.84–0.18 | 51% · 42% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Remo 1–1 Volta Redonda | 0.70–0.56 | 34% · 41% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Avai 2–1 Chapecoense | 2.59–0.52 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.