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5 of 10 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.7 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro 1–1 Criciuma | 1.16–0.87 | 42% · 30% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Avai 1–2 Athletico Paranaense | 0.69–0.42 | 37% · 43% · 20% | Won against the xG: Athletico Paranaense |
| Remo 0–1 Paysandu | 1.28–1.94 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Paysandu |
| Ferroviária 1–0 CRB | 0.63–3.24 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Won against the xG: Ferroviária |
| Goias 1–2 Athletic Club | 0.91–1.60 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.