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2 of 10 matches with xG: 4 goals from 4.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu 2–1 Ferroviária | 0.68–0.38 | 38% · 44% · 18% | Close call, Paysandu won |
| Cuiaba 0–1 Botafogo SP | 1.67–1.71 | 38% · 23% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.