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10 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 25.2 xG (0.64 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense 2–1 CRB | 1.54–1.62 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| Coritiba 2–0 Volta Redonda | 2.11–2.07 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Remo 0–0 Cuiaba | 0.63–0.36 | 36% · 46% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Avai 0–0 Paysandu | 2.01–0.10 | 84% · 15% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Avai had 84% |
| Amazonas 0–1 Athletico Paranaense | 0.37–1.33 | 10% · 28% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Ferroviária 1–3 Vila Nova | 1.48–2.56 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Botafogo SP 0–0 Novorizontino | 1.13–0.26 | 59% · 33% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Botafogo SP had 59% |
| Operario-PR 1–2 Chapecoense | 2.15–1.63 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Won against the xG: Chapecoense |
| America Mineiro 0–1 Athletic Club | 0.96–0.77 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Close call, Athletic Club won |
| Goias 1–1 Criciuma | 1.61–0.49 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 65% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.