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7 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.7 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR 3–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.93–0.15 | 81% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Operario-PR |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Ferroviária | 2.09–1.05 | 61% · 20% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 61% |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Coritiba | 1.16–0.52 | 52% · 32% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 52% |
| Vila Nova 2–0 CRB | 1.23–1.75 | 27% · 24% · 50% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
| Chapecoense 4–2 Volta Redonda | 1.67–1.32 | 46% · 24% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Chapecoense |
| Novorizontino 1–0 Goias | 1.72–1.80 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Close call, Novorizontino won |
| Remo 2–1 Avai | 1.29–0.99 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Remo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.