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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 23.6 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR 1–1 CRB | 0.67–0.42 | 36% · 44% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Remo 1–1 Novorizontino | 0.52–1.72 | 11% · 23% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Novorizontino had 67% |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 Criciuma | 0.58–0.35 | 34% · 48% · 18% | Won against the xG: Criciuma |
| Ferroviária 1–2 Athletic Club | 1.13–1.52 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Goias 3–1 Cuiaba | 1.44–0.83 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
| Coritiba 2–5 Paysandu | 1.96–1.45 | 50% · 22% · 29% | Won against the xG: Paysandu |
| Avai 1–1 Vila Nova | 1.41–1.16 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Volta Redonda 3–2 Athletico Paranaense | 0.93–1.46 | 24% · 27% · 49% | Won against the xG: Volta Redonda |
| Amazonas 3–0 Botafogo SP | 2.21–0.61 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Amazonas |
| America Mineiro 0–1 Chapecoense | 2.32–0.86 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Won against the xG: Chapecoense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.