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4 of 10 matches with xG: 11 goals from 15.4 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club 0–4 Chapecoense | 1.08–1.78 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Chapecoense |
| Paysandu 1–2 Operario-PR | 2.85–1.33 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Won against the xG: Operario-PR |
| Ferroviária 0–0 Volta Redonda | 2.17–1.53 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Ferroviária had 52% |
| Cuiaba 2–2 Atletico Goianiense | 3.06–1.61 | 67% · 16% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Cuiaba had 67% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.