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3 of 10 matches with xG: 3 goals from 6.3 xG (0.48 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda 0–1 CRB | 0.41–0.69 | 19% · 43% · 37% | Close call, CRB won |
| Athletic Club 1–1 Criciuma | 2.13–1.49 | 52% · 21% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 52% |
| Operario-PR 0–0 Avai | 0.86–0.73 | 36% · 35% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.