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4 of 10 matches with xG: 13 goals from 13.2 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária 2–1 Amazonas | 1.74–0.94 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Ferroviária |
| Avai 2–0 Cuiaba | 0.83–2.18 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Won against the xG: Avai |
| Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Botafogo SP | 2.56–0.30 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
| Criciuma 4–2 Athletico Paranaense | 2.97–1.72 | 63% · 16% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.