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7 of 10 matches with xG: 11 goals from 13.0 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda 0–0 Criciuma | 0.61–0.54 | 31% · 43% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Coritiba 0–0 Goias | 2.31–0.36 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Coritiba had 82% |
| Paysandu 0–0 America Mineiro | 0.37–0.56 | 19% · 48% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vila Nova 1–1 Remo | 1.29–0.09 | 69% · 28% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 69% |
| Operario-PR 1–1 Cuiaba | 0.73–0.47 | 38% · 41% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletic Club 2–0 Botafogo SP | 1.47–0.36 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Chapecoense 2–3 Athletico Paranaense | 1.98–1.86 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Close call, Athletico Paranaense won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.