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5 of 10 matches with xG: 6 goals from 13.0 xG (0.46 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino 1–0 Athletic Club | 0.81–0.22 | 48% · 42% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Criciuma 1–0 CRB | 2.75–1.00 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| America Mineiro 1–0 Coritiba | 1.12–2.65 | 14% · 16% · 70% | Won against the xG: America Mineiro |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Vila Nova | 2.16–0.04 | 87% · 12% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Cuiaba 1–0 Chapecoense | 1.23–1.00 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.