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3 of 10 matches with xG: 3 goals from 7.6 xG (0.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu 0–1 Novorizontino | 0.55–2.14 | 8% · 17% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–0 America Mineiro | 0.74–0.56 | 36% · 40% · 25% | Close call, Atletico Goianiense won |
| Chapecoense 0–1 Avai | 1.44–2.12 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.