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7 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 15.5 xG (1.35 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Operario-PR | 0.67–0.91 | 26% · 35% · 39% | Close call, Athletico Paranaense won |
| Criciuma 2–4 Paysandu | 1.49–2.06 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Paysandu |
| Novorizontino 1–1 Vila Nova | 1.76–0.06 | 81% · 18% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Novorizontino had 81% |
| Remo 4–2 CRB | 0.93–1.15 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Close call, Remo won |
| Botafogo SP 1–2 Ferroviária | 0.98–2.13 | 16% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Ferroviária |
| Cuiaba 2–1 Athletic Club | 1.33–1.13 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Goias 0–0 Atletico Goianiense | 0.08–0.82 | 3% · 43% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.