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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 26.9 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu 1–1 Cuiaba | 1.95–1.02 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Paysandu had 59% |
| Vila Nova 1–1 Criciuma | 1.85–0.61 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 67% |
| Athletic Club 2–2 Amazonas | 2.11–1.31 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 56% |
| Coritiba 2–0 Botafogo SP | 1.89–0.08 | 83% · 16% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| CRB 1–0 Avai | 1.51–0.83 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| Chapecoense 1–0 Novorizontino | 1.47–0.95 | 49% · 26% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Chapecoense |
| Volta Redonda 0–0 Goias | 0.95–3.21 | 8% · 11% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 81% |
| Ferroviária 1–3 America Mineiro | 1.09–1.91 | 21% · 22% · 56% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Operario-PR 0–1 Remo | 0.44–0.57 | 23% · 46% · 31% | Close call, Remo won |
| Atletico Goianiense 3–0 Athletico Paranaense | 2.04–1.10 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.