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9 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias 1–2 CRB | 0.46–1.15 | 15% · 32% · 53% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| Botafogo SP 1–0 Paysandu | 1.69–0.51 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| Cuiaba 0–1 Novorizontino | 1.29–0.79 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Won against the xG: Novorizontino |
| Operario-PR 1–4 Athletic Club | 1.90–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Won against the xG: Athletic Club |
| Avai 3–0 Volta Redonda | 2.41–0.58 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| America Mineiro 1–1 Vila Nova | 0.96–1.33 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ferroviária 0–1 Chapecoense | 0.91–1.37 | 25% · 28% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Chapecoense |
| Coritiba 2–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.90–0.90 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Coritiba |
| Remo 2–1 Athletico Paranaense | 1.30–1.53 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Close call, Remo won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.