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5 of 10 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.6 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino 3–0 Operario-PR | 2.13–1.80 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Vila Nova 1–0 Amazonas | 1.42–0.73 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Vila Nova |
| Criciuma 2–1 America Mineiro | 1.63–0.53 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Cuiaba 1–0 Coritiba | 1.85–0.67 | 66% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Cuiaba |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Avai | 2.23–0.60 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.