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4 of 10 matches with xG: 7 goals from 8.9 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazonas 0–0 Novorizontino | 0.81–0.51 | 40% · 39% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Vila Nova | 1.00–0.93 | 36% · 31% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
| America Mineiro 1–1 CRB | 2.54–1.26 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Draw against the xG: America Mineiro had 65% |
| Remo 3–1 Athletic Club | 0.84–1.03 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Close call, Remo won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.