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7 of 10 matches with xG: 12 goals from 17.4 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba 0–0 CRB | 0.80–1.27 | 23% · 29% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Goianiense 2–1 Paysandu | 1.65–1.59 | 40% · 23% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Goianiense |
| Ferroviária 0–0 Criciuma | 1.42–0.28 | 67% · 26% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Ferroviária had 67% |
| Goias 0–1 Athletico Paranaense | 0.73–1.02 | 26% · 33% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Athletico Paranaense |
| Avai 2–1 Athletic Club | 1.73–1.54 | 42% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Avai |
| America Mineiro 2–2 Novorizontino | 1.28–1.71 | 29% · 24% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Volta Redonda 0–1 Botafogo SP | 1.04–1.32 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.