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4 of 10 matches with xG: 9 goals from 7.5 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba 0–1 Goias | 1.13–0.96 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Close call, Goias won |
| Novorizontino 1–1 Remo | 0.69–0.17 | 44% · 47% · 8% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Volta Redonda | 0.95–1.66 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Won against the xG: Athletico Paranaense |
| Vila Nova 2–2 Avai | 0.45–1.49 | 11% · 26% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Avai had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.