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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma 2–0 Ponte Preta | 2.04–0.15 | 83% · 15% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Botafogo SP 1–1 Sport Recife | 0.94–0.88 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vila Nova 2–2 Juventude | 1.41–1.39 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nautico Recife 1–0 Avai | 1.30–0.44 | 58% · 29% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Nautico Recife |
| Londrina 1–3 America Mineiro | 1.70–1.77 | 37% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Cuiaba 1–2 São Bernardo | 1.20–1.27 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| Novorizontino 2–1 Operario-PR | 1.55–0.39 | 67% · 24% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Novorizontino |
| Fortaleza EC 0–0 Atletico Goianiense | 1.58–1.33 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Athletic Club 2–1 Ceara | 1.61–1.12 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Athletic Club |
| Goias 2–1 CRB | 0.60–2.19 | 9% · 17% · 74% | Won against the xG: Goias |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.