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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 32.1 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operario-PR 1–0 Athletic Club | 0.67–0.84 | 27% · 36% · 37% | Close call, Operario-PR won |
| Sport Recife 2–1 Criciuma | 1.51–1.56 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Sport Recife won |
| Avai 0–2 Botafogo SP | 1.66–0.76 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Won against the xG: Botafogo SP |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–1 Novorizontino | 1.65–0.98 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Won against the xG: Novorizontino |
| São Bernardo 3–2 Vila Nova | 1.57–1.94 | 32% · 22% · 47% | Close call, São Bernardo won |
| CRB 2–1 Londrina | 2.54–2.54 | 41% · 18% · 41% | Close call, CRB won |
| Ponte Preta 2–2 Fortaleza EC | 0.89–1.94 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Fortaleza EC had 62% |
| America Mineiro 1–0 Cuiaba | 0.44–1.83 | 8% · 20% · 71% | Won against the xG: America Mineiro |
| Juventude 4–0 Nautico Recife | 3.41–2.51 | 56% · 16% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Juventude |
| Ceara 0–2 Goias | 0.99–1.89 | 19% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Goias |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.