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10 of 10 matches with xG: 16 goals from 24.2 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta 1–1 Atletico Goianiense | 1.17–2.26 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 62% |
| Sport Recife 0–2 Fortaleza EC | 0.78–0.70 | 34% · 37% · 29% | Close call, Fortaleza EC won |
| Ceara 2–2 Juventude | 1.86–1.27 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Ceara had 51% |
| America Mineiro 1–0 Operario-PR | 1.70–0.69 | 62% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Avai 0–0 Athletic Club | 1.06–0.11 | 61% · 35% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Avai had 61% |
| CRB 0–1 Botafogo SP | 1.04–1.82 | 21% · 23% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Botafogo SP |
| São Bernardo 0–1 Criciuma | 0.42–0.78 | 18% · 41% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Criciuma |
| Vila Nova 2–2 Novorizontino | 1.08–0.48 | 50% · 33% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 50% |
| Goias 0–0 Nautico Recife | 2.39–1.28 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Goias had 62% |
| Londrina 1–0 Cuiaba | 1.75–1.53 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Londrina |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.