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9 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 20.1 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP 1–1 Nautico Recife | 1.30–0.98 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cuiaba 1–1 Criciuma | 0.82–0.69 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza EC 4–1 Goias | 1.65–0.79 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza EC |
| Operario-PR 3–0 Londrina | 1.50–0.40 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Operario-PR |
| São Bernardo 3–0 Ponte Preta | 1.69–0.56 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| Sport Recife 2–0 Ceara | 1.99–0.53 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sport Recife |
| Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Juventude | 1.78–0.34 | 73% · 20% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Atletico Goianiense had 73% |
| America Mineiro 1–2 CRB | 0.84–1.59 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for CRB |
| Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club | 1.59–1.04 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Vila Nova had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.