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2 of 10 matches with xG: 5 goals from 6.3 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias 3–0 Aparecidense | 2.88–1.68 | 63% · 17% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Caxias |
| Ypiranga-RS 2–0 Ferroviario | 1.16–0.61 | 49% · 31% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Ypiranga-RS |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.