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3 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.7 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife 2–2 Athletic Club | 1.57–2.33 | 26% · 20% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Athletic Club had 55% |
| Remo 2–1 CSA | 2.62–1.22 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Remo |
| Floresta 1–0 Sampaio Correa | 1.74–1.25 | 49% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Floresta |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.