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6 of 10 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.0 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina 0–0 Floresta | 1.34–0.21 | 67% · 28% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Londrina had 67% |
| Ypiranga-RS 0–1 Ferroviária | 1.19–0.79 | 45% · 30% · 24% | Won against the xG: Ferroviária |
| CSA 2–2 Nautico Recife | 1.61–0.83 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: CSA had 56% |
| São Bernardo 2–0 Caxias | 0.81–0.38 | 43% · 41% · 16% | Win in line with xG for São Bernardo |
| Ferroviario 1–1 Sampaio Correa | 1.58–1.12 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Remo 1–0 Aparecidense | 0.55–2.61 | 6% · 13% · 81% | Won against the xG: Remo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.