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6 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 15.1 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Botev Vratsa | 1.24–0.41 | 57% · 30% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| CSKA Sofia 1–2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1.92–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Won against the xG: Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| Cherno More Varna 3–1 Levski Sofia | 1.55–0.33 | 68% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0–0 Levski Krumovgrad | 0.09–1.12 | 3% · 33% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Levski Krumovgrad had 64% |
| Beroe 2–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2.03–1.75 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 2–0 Arda Kardzhali | 2.23–1.29 | 59% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.